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Earnings call: Micron Technology forecasts growth with AI-driven demand

EditorRachael Rajan
Published 12/22/2023, 01:49 PM
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Micron Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:MU) has reported robust financial outcomes for the first quarter of fiscal year 2024, surpassing its own revenue, gross margin, and earnings per share (EPS) guidance. The company's strategic positioning to capitalize on the burgeoning generative AI market, where memory is a key component, is poised to drive growth. Micron's successful new technology and product launches are expected to bolster margins and financial performance throughout the year. The company's emphasis on advanced technology nodes in DRAM and NAND production, along with cost reductions and disciplined supply management, signals a strong outlook for 2024 and beyond.

Key Takeaways

  • Micron's Q1 financials beat guidance with strong revenue, gross margin, and EPS.
  • The company is leveraging the growth of generative AI, crucial for AI servers.
  • New product introductions and technology are set to improve margins.
  • Micron is ramping up advanced DRAM and NAND technologies, anticipating cost reductions.
  • Memory and storage inventories are aligning with market demand.
  • The company is transitioning to D5 and plans to start 1-gamma DRAM production in 2025.
  • Micron's data center solutions, including HBM3E and D5, are targeting the expanding AI market.
  • A significant increase in memory content for AI-enabled devices is driving demand.
  • Micron expects bit demand growth for DRAM and NAND and plans supply discipline.
  • The company forecasts capital expenditures of $7.5 billion to $8 billion for fiscal 2024.

Company Outlook

  • Micron anticipates growth in PC and smartphone unit volumes in 2024.
  • The automotive and industrial markets are growing, with a revenue record in automotive.
  • Bit demand growth projected in the high single-digit to low double-digit percentages.
  • Fiscal 2024 CapEx targeted between $7.5 billion and $8 billion, mainly for HBM3E production.
  • Bit supply growth in fiscal 2024 expected to be below demand growth.
  • Company expects to improve DRAM industry supply-demand balance with HBM production ramp.
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Bearish Highlights

  • Volume growth is not expected in the second and third quarters.
  • The industry is not at profitable levels for investments, leading to prudent supply management.

Bullish Highlights

  • Micron expects prices to increase through calendar 2024.
  • The company forecasts a return to profitability and positive free cash flow.
  • Strong position in data center NVMe SSDs with increased market share in recent quarters.

Misses

  • No specific details disclosed about HBM production or NAND investments.
  • The company is managing supply and shipments carefully, indicating possible constraints.

Q&A Highlights

  • Micron aims to drive pricing and profitability while balancing demand across markets.
  • The focus is on optimizing price, driving productivity, and controlling capital spend.
  • Micron's cross-cycle financial model is expected to facilitate recovery in 2024.

Micron's leadership expressed optimism about the industry environment and their financial outlook for the fiscal year. The company's strategic focus on optimizing price, driving productivity, and controlling capital spend, coupled with progress in technology and product expansion, especially in HBM3E, is expected to contribute to a healthy supply-demand environment and strong growth in critical new technologies. With an emphasis on disciplined management and profitability, Micron is well-positioned to capitalize on future market opportunities, particularly in the burgeoning AI sector.

InvestingPro Insights

Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) has demonstrated resilience in its financial performance, with a recent report indicating robust results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2024. According to InvestingPro data, Micron has a market capitalization of $96.44 billion and a negative P/E ratio of -13.91, reflecting challenges in profitability. However, the company's revenue growth for the quarter was positive at 15.69%, suggesting a potential turnaround in sales. Additionally, Micron's stock has been performing well with a year-to-date price total return of 71.98%, indicating strong investor confidence.

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InvestingPro Tips reveal that Micron has raised its dividend for three consecutive years, which may be appealing to income-focused investors. Moreover, the company has been recognized as a prominent player in the Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment industry, which is crucial given the current focus on advanced technology nodes in DRAM and NAND production.

For those considering an investment in Micron or seeking further insights, InvestingPro offers additional tips and metrics on Micron's financial health and market standing. With the special Cyber Monday sale, subscribers can now enjoy up to a 60% discount on InvestingPro subscriptions. Plus, using coupon code sfy23 provides an additional 10% off a 2-year InvestingPro+ subscription, making it an opportune time to access the 17 additional InvestingPro Tips listed for Micron. These tips could provide valuable perspectives on sales growth, earnings revisions, and profitability expectations, which are directly relevant to the company's future in the dynamic AI market.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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