Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD trades sideways around $1,900 amid concerns over Fed policy


  • Gold price holds ground after upbeat US Retail Sales released on Tuesday.
  • Investors await fresh signals on Fed monetary policy tightening in September meeting.
  • China's deteriorating economic outlook are putting pressure on Gold price.

Gold price (XAU/USD) hovers around the $1,901 mark during the Asian trading session on Wednesday. An upbeat United States (US) Retail Sales have raised concerns over further tightening of monetary policy by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) weighed on Gold price the previous day.

The stronger-than-expected US Retail Sales data for July, with a 0.7% increase compared to the previous reading of 0.3% and beating the market expectation of 0.4%, which indicates a healthier and more robust US economy. This could lead to speculations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed), might consider tightening its monetary policy in the September meeting, which might weaken the appeal of non-interest-bearing assets like Gold.

The concerns about China's weakening economic outlook are putting pressure on Gold's ability to sustain its value. On Tuesday, an unexpected decision by China's central bank to reduce one-year medium-term lending facility (MLF) loans by 15 basis points (bps) to 2.50% from 2.65% prior might intensify the pressure on the price of Gold. Additionally, China’s downbeat July Retail Sales rose 2.5% YoY vs. 4.8% expected and 3.1% previous, as well as the Industrial Production that came in at 3.7% YoY vs. 4.5% estimated and 4.4% prior.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the strength of the US Dollar (USD) against a basket of six major currencies, continues its winning streak for the fifth consecutive day. Currently, the DXY is trading around 103.20. This upward movement of the US Dollar (USD) is a result of strong economic data originating from the United States (US). Positive economic indicators have the potential to drive up demand for the USD in comparison to the Gold price.

Gold PRICE: Additional Important Levels

Overview
Today last price 1904.74
Today Daily Change 2.90
Today Daily Change % 0.15
Today daily open 1901.84
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1941.87
Daily SMA50 1939.06
Daily SMA100 1965.14
Daily SMA200 1904.22
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1911.77
Previous Daily Low 1896.49
Previous Weekly High 1946.82
Previous Weekly Low 1910.92
Previous Monthly High 1987.54
Previous Monthly Low 1902.77
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1902.33
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1905.93
Daily Pivot Point S1 1894.96
Daily Pivot Point S2 1888.09
Daily Pivot Point S3 1879.68
Daily Pivot Point R1 1910.24
Daily Pivot Point R2 1918.65
Daily Pivot Point R3 1925.52

 

 

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