Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD snaps a losing streak around $1,870 , focus on US Core PCE


  • Gold price attempt to recover from the recent losses after moderate US data.
  • The pullback in US Treasury yields put pressure on the US Dollar.
  • US Core PCE is due on Friday, expected to reduce from 4.2% to 3.9%.

Gold price snaps a four-day losing streak, trading higher around $1,870 per troy ounce during the Asian session on Friday. The prices of the precious metal recovers from the lowest levels since March, primarily supported by a correction in the US Dollar (USD) due to the moderate economic data from the United States (US).

Additionally, the pullback in US Treasury yields might have helped the non-yielding assets like Gold. However, the yield on the 10-year US Treasury bond retraces the recent losses, standing at 4.59% at the time of writing.

US GDP remained consistent at 2.1% as expected. Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending on September 22, printed a lower reading of 204K than the market consensus of 215K, which was 202K prior.

US Pending Home Sales showed a decline of 7.1%, exceeding the market expectation of a 0.8% fall, swinging from the 0.9% rise previously.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) extended losses on the second day after the moderate datasets from the United States (US), trading around 106.00 by the press time.

The US Dollar (USD) saw a strong rally over the past week, buoyed by robust economic indicators, and it climbed to its highest levels since December. Furthermore, the USD's resilience can be linked to the favorable performance of US Treasury yields.

Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee expressed confidence that the Fed will bring inflation back to its target. Goolsbee also emphasized the unique chance to achieve this without a recession, indicating the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) commitment to managing inflation while sustaining economic growth.

Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President, Thomas Barkin acknowledged that recent inflation data has been positive but emphasized that it's premature to determine the future course of monetary policy.

Traders await the US Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index, the Fed's preferred measure of consumer inflation, which is due on Friday. The annual rate is expected to reduce from 4.2% to 3.9%.

XAU/USD: Additional important level

Overview
Today last price 1866.42
Today Daily Change 1.97
Today Daily Change % 0.11
Today daily open 1864.45
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1916.76
Daily SMA50 1923.56
Daily SMA100 1936.82
Daily SMA200 1927.29
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1879.68
Previous Daily Low 1857.74
Previous Weekly High 1947.47
Previous Weekly Low 1913.95
Previous Monthly High 1966.08
Previous Monthly Low 1884.85
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1866.12
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1871.3
Daily Pivot Point S1 1854.9
Daily Pivot Point S2 1845.35
Daily Pivot Point S3 1832.96
Daily Pivot Point R1 1876.84
Daily Pivot Point R2 1889.23
Daily Pivot Point R3 1898.78

 

 

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