Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD hovers near $1,910 with a negative bias, focus on US macros


  • Gold price looks to lose ground toward $1,900 amid US Dollar strengthens.
  • Traders are still pricing in the likelihood of the Fed's policy rates to be higher for an extended period.
  • Upbeat US Treasury yields are contributing support for the potential of the Greenback.

Gold price moves downward, trading lower around $1,910 per troy ounce during the Asian session on Tuesday. The US Dollar (USD) continues to strengthen, partly due to cautious market sentiment and higher US Treasury yields.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) hovers near 106.00 at the time of writing. The index marked its highest level on Monday since November. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note improved to 4.55%, a level that hasn't been observed since October 2007.

Moreover, the likelihood of high-interest rates persisting for a prolonged period is based on the resilience of the United States (US) economy, which is putting pressure on non-yielding assets like Gold.

According to Reuters, both US President Joe Biden and one of his senior advisers have issued warnings regarding the potential ramifications of a federal government shutdown. They expressed concerns that such a shutdown could result in widespread difficulties, including the loss of food benefits for nearly 7 million low-income women and children.

The statement suggests that there was a prior agreement between President Joe Biden and House Speaker Kevin McCarthy regarding government spending levels. However, it is noted that the Republican-controlled House of Representatives may attempt to pass significant budget cuts this week.

These proposed cuts would require approval by the Democratic-controlled Senate, which is expected to reject them. If both houses fail to reach an agreement on government spending, it could lead to a partial government shutdown by the following Sunday.

Investors will likely watch the macro releases such as US Consumer Confidence, Durable Goods Orders, Initial Jobless Claims and Federal Reserve's (Fed) preferred inflation gauge, the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, which are scheduled to be released later in the week.

These datasets may provide crucial insights into the inflationary pressures in the US economy and could impact the Fed's monetary policy, which could influence the price of Gold.

XAU/USD: additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 1914.19
Today Daily Change -1.53
Today Daily Change % -0.08
Today daily open 1915.72
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1925.75
Daily SMA50 1929.25
Daily SMA100 1941.21
Daily SMA200 1926.19
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1927.27
Previous Daily Low 1915.2
Previous Weekly High 1947.47
Previous Weekly Low 1913.95
Previous Monthly High 1966.08
Previous Monthly Low 1884.85
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1919.81
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1922.66
Daily Pivot Point S1 1911.52
Daily Pivot Point S2 1907.33
Daily Pivot Point S3 1899.45
Daily Pivot Point R1 1923.59
Daily Pivot Point R2 1931.47
Daily Pivot Point R3 1935.66

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD recovers toward 1.0850 as risk mood improves

EUR/USD recovers toward 1.0850 as risk mood improves

EUR/USD gains traction and rises toward 1.0850 on Friday. The improvement seen in risk mood makes it difficult for the US Dollar (USD) to preserve its strength and helps the pair erase a portion of its weekly losses. 

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD stabilizes above 1.2700 after downbeat UK Retail Sales-led dip

GBP/USD stabilizes above 1.2700 after downbeat UK Retail Sales-led dip

GBP/USD staged a rebound and stabilized above 1.2700 after dropping to a weekly low below 1.2680 in the early European session in response to the disappointing UK Retail Sales data. The USD struggles to find demand on upbeat risk mood and allows the pair to hold its ground. 

GBP/USD News

Gold rebounds to $2,340 area, stays deep in red for the week

Gold rebounds to $2,340 area, stays deep in red for the week

Gold fell nearly 4% in the previous two trading days and touched its weakest level in two weeks below $2,330 on Thursday. As US Treasury bond yields stabilize on Friday, XAU/USD stages a correction toward $2,340 but remains on track to post large weekly losses.

Gold News

Dogecoin inspiration Kabosu dies, leaving legacy of $22.86 billion market cap meme coin behind

Dogecoin inspiration Kabosu dies, leaving legacy of $22.86 billion market cap meme coin behind

Kabosu, the popular Shiba Inu dog that inspired the logo of the largest meme coin by market capitalization, Dogecoin (DOGE), died early on Friday after losing her fight to leukemia and liver disease.

Read more

Week ahead – US PCE inflation and Eurozone CPI data enter the spotlight

Week ahead – US PCE inflation and Eurozone CPI data enter the spotlight

Dollar traders lock gaze on core PCE index. Eurozone CPIs in focus as June cut looms. Tokyo CPIs may complicate BoJ’s policy plans. Aussie awaits Australian CPIs and Chinese PMIs.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures