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Piper Sandler cuts Enphase Energy share price target on California microinverter sales miss

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 04/24/2024, 09:02 AM
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On Wednesday, Piper Sandler adjusted its outlook on Enphase Energy (NASDAQ:ENPH) shares, reducing the price target from $113.00 to $111.00, while maintaining a Neutral rating.

The revision follows Enphase Energy's report that it fell short of its first-quarter sell-through guidance by 8%, an announcement that came after providing a positive outlook in early February. Despite this shortfall, the analyst noted some positive developments within the company's recent performance.

California microinverters were primarily responsible for the miss in sell-through expectations. The analysis estimates that California sell-through decreased by 59% year-over-year in the first quarter of 2024, aligning with current activity levels projected by distributors and lenders, which range from 60% to 80%. In contrast, Europe presented a brighter picture, with sell-through unexpectedly growing by 7% quarter-over-quarter. Additionally, battery sell-through saw a modest decline of 9% quarter-over-quarter.

Enphase Energy's introduction of new products was highlighted as a potential precursor to margin expansion. The analyst expressed that while there are emerging positive signs, the first-quarter miss encapsulates the broader uncertainty within the residential solar market. The update from Enphase Energy reflects a mixed scenario, with certain regions and product lines showing resilience amidst a challenging environment.

The new price target of $111.00 per share reflects the analyst's recalibrated expectations in light of these recent developments. Enphase Energy's stock performance and future outlook remain under close observation as the company navigates the volatile residential solar market. The unchanged Neutral rating indicates a wait-and-see approach, as analysts and investors alike look for more definitive signs of stability and growth.

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InvestingPro Insights

The latest adjustment in Enphase Energy's (NASDAQ:ENPH) stock price target by Piper Sandler comes at a time when the company is experiencing a mix of challenges and strategic maneuvers. According to InvestingPro, Enphase Energy is trading at a high earnings multiple with a P/E Ratio of 57.78 and an adjusted P/E Ratio for the last twelve months as of Q1 2024 at 54.35. Despite the recent downturn in sell-through guidance, management's aggressive share buyback strategy and the company's solid financial footing, with liquid assets exceeding short-term obligations, could be seen as positive signals for investors.

InvestingPro Tips suggest that while analysts have revised their earnings downwards for the upcoming period, anticipating a sales decline in the current year, Enphase Energy's cash flows are robust enough to comfortably cover interest payments. Furthermore, with a market capitalization of $15.43B USD and a revenue growth of -30.11% over the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, it's evident that the company is navigating through a dynamic market landscape.

For investors looking for a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers an additional 15 tips on Enphase Energy, which can be accessed through their platform. Utilize coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription, which could provide deeper insights into Enphase Energy's market position and potential.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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