Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD climbs to two-week high, fueled by falling US bond yields, post FOMC’s minutes


  • Gold price ascends to a two-week peak at $1877.21, buoyed by declining US Treasury yields.
  • Fed minutes reveal concerns over dual-sided risks to inflation and economic activity, influencing policy outlook.
  • US producer-side inflation data and varied Fed official stances complicate the gold price trajectory.

Gold price (XAU/USD) climbed for the second straight day and printed a two-week high at around $1877.21 on Wednesday, courtesy of falling US Treasury bond yields spurred by the latest Fed meeting minutes. At the time of writing, the XAU/USD is trading at 1874.73, almost flat as the Asian session begins.

XAU/USD navigates through Fed minutes, inflation data, and official commentary

In the meantime, the US Dollar Index retreated further from the 11-month highs reached last week, a tailwind for XAU/USD prices. Additionally, benchmark yields on the US 10-year Treasury note pulled back from their highest levels since 2007. These factors contributed to the rise in Gold prices.

The US Federal Reserve recently released minutes from its September monetary policy meeting. According to these minutes, participants acknowledged both upside risks to inflation and downside risks to economic activity. This suggests a two-sided challenge in achieving the Fed's objectives. Policymakers also noted that as policy approaches its peak, decisions, and communications should start shifting toward a longer horizon of keeping rates higher for an extended period.

Furthermore, the US Department of Labor (DoL) reported that producer-side inflation figures exceeded expectations, with most figures surpassing those from August. However, the monthly reading for the Producer Price Index (PPI) expanded less than the previous month, indicating that inflation remains a concern, possibly influenced by high energy prices and the automobile union strike.

In terms of recent statements from Fed officials, many have adopted a more neutral stance, except for Fed Governor Michelle Bowman, who emphasized the need for further tightening to address inflationary pressures.

XAU/USD Technical Levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1874.74
Today Daily Change 14.14
Today Daily Change % 0.76
Today daily open 1860.6
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1881.76
Daily SMA50 1904.09
Daily SMA100 1924.97
Daily SMA200 1928.44
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1865.39
Previous Daily Low 1853.04
Previous Weekly High 1849.16
Previous Weekly Low 1810.51
Previous Monthly High 1953.01
Previous Monthly Low 1846.37
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1857.76
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1860.67
Daily Pivot Point S1 1853.96
Daily Pivot Point S2 1847.33
Daily Pivot Point S3 1841.61
Daily Pivot Point R1 1866.31
Daily Pivot Point R2 1872.03
Daily Pivot Point R3 1878.66

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD recovers toward 1.0850 as risk mood improves

EUR/USD recovers toward 1.0850 as risk mood improves

EUR/USD gains traction and rises toward 1.0850 on Friday. The improvement seen in risk mood makes it difficult for the US Dollar (USD) to preserve its strength and helps the pair erase a portion of its weekly losses. 

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD stabilizes above 1.2700 after downbeat UK Retail Sales-led dip

GBP/USD stabilizes above 1.2700 after downbeat UK Retail Sales-led dip

GBP/USD staged a rebound and stabilized above 1.2700 after dropping to a weekly low below 1.2680 in the early European session in response to the disappointing UK Retail Sales data. The USD struggles to find demand on upbeat risk mood and allows the pair to hold its ground. 

GBP/USD News

Gold rebounds to $2,340 area, stays deep in red for the week

Gold rebounds to $2,340 area, stays deep in red for the week

Gold fell nearly 4% in the previous two trading days and touched its weakest level in two weeks below $2,330 on Thursday. As US Treasury bond yields stabilize on Friday, XAU/USD stages a correction toward $2,340 but remains on track to post large weekly losses.

Gold News

Dogecoin inspiration Kabosu dies, leaving legacy of $22.86 billion market cap meme coin behind

Dogecoin inspiration Kabosu dies, leaving legacy of $22.86 billion market cap meme coin behind

Kabosu, the popular Shiba Inu dog that inspired the logo of the largest meme coin by market capitalization, Dogecoin (DOGE), died early on Friday after losing her fight to leukemia and liver disease.

Read more

Week ahead – US PCE inflation and Eurozone CPI data enter the spotlight

Week ahead – US PCE inflation and Eurozone CPI data enter the spotlight

Dollar traders lock gaze on core PCE index. Eurozone CPIs in focus as June cut looms. Tokyo CPIs may complicate BoJ’s policy plans. Aussie awaits Australian CPIs and Chinese PMIs.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures