Value-focused investors are always on the hunt for stocks that are priced below their intrinsic value. One such stock that merits attention is International Flavors & Fragrances (IFF, Financial). The stock, which is currently priced at $63.07, recorded a loss of 2.64% in a day and a 3-month decrease of 29.51%. The stock's fair valuation is $128.92, as indicated by its Fair Value (GF Value).
Understanding the GF Value
The GF Value represents the current intrinsic value of a stock derived from our exclusive method. The GF Value Line on our summary page gives an overview of the fair value that the stock should be traded at. It is calculated based on three factors:
- Historical multiples (PE Ratio, PS Ratio, PB Ratio, and Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow) that the stock has traded at.
- GuruFocus adjustment factor based on the company's past returns and growth.
- Future estimates of the business performance.
We believe the GF Value Line is the fair value that the stock should be traded at. The stock price will most likely fluctuate around the GF Value Line. If the stock price is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher.
Delving Deeper: The Altman Z-Score
However, investors need to consider a more in-depth analysis before making an investment decision. Despite its seemingly attractive valuation, certain risk factors associated with International Flavors & Fragrances should not be ignored. These risks are primarily reflected through its low Altman Z-score of 0.88. These indicators suggest that International Flavors & Fragrances, despite its apparent undervaluation, might be a potential value trap. This complexity underlines the importance of thorough due diligence in investment decision-making.
Before delving into the details, let's understand what the Altman Z-score entails. Invented by New York University Professor Edward I. Altman in 1968, the Z-Score is a financial model that predicts the probability of a company entering bankruptcy within a two-year time frame. The Altman Z-Score combines five different financial ratios, each weighted to create a final score. A score below 1.8 suggests a high likelihood of financial distress, while a score above 3 indicates a low risk.
Snapshot of International Flavors & Fragrances
International Flavors & Fragrances is the largest specialty ingredients producer globally. The company sells ingredients for the food, beverage, health, household goods, personal care, and pharmaceutical industries. The company makes proprietary formulations, partnering with customers to deliver custom solutions. The nourish segment, which generates roughly half of revenue, is a leading flavor producer and also sell texturants, plant-based proteins, and other ingredients. The health and biosciences business, which generates around one fourth of revenue, is a global leader in probiotics and enzymes. IFF is also one of the leading fragrance producers in the world. The firm also sells pharmaceutical ingredients such as excipients and time-release polymers.
International Flavors & Fragrances's Low Altman Z-Score: A Breakdown of Key Drivers
A dissection of International Flavors & Fragrances's Altman Z-score reveals International Flavors & Fragrances's financial health may be weak, suggesting possible financial distress:
Operational Efficiency and Asset Turnover
When it comes to operational efficiency, a vital indicator for International Flavors & Fragrances is its asset turnover. The data: 2020: 0.39; 2021: 0.33; 2022: 0.32; 2023: 0.33 from the past three years suggests a decreasing trend in this ratio. The asset turnover ratio reflects how effectively a company is using its assets to generate sales. Therefore, a drop in this ratio can signify reduced operational efficiency, potentially due to underutilization of assets or decreased market demand for the company's products or services. This shift in International Flavors & Fragrances's asset turnover underlines the need for the company to reassess its operational strategies to optimize asset usage and boost sales.
Conclusion: Is International Flavors & Fragrances a Value Trap?
Given the low Altman Z-Score and the decreasing asset turnover, International Flavors & Fragrances might be a potential value trap. Despite the apparent undervaluation, the financial distress indicated by the Z-Score and the operational inefficiency suggested by the asset turnover ratio underline the importance of thorough due diligence before investing in this company.
GuruFocus Premium members can find stocks with high Altman Z-Score using the following Screener: Walter Schloss Screen .
