(Reuters) – Gold prices edged lower in early Asian trade on Monday, helped by a slightly stronger U.S. dollar, with chances of more interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve weighing on bullion’s appeal.
FUNDAMENTALS
* Spot gold was down 0.1% to $1,917.19 per ounce by 0053 GMT while U.S. gold futures fell 0.2% to $1,925.10.
* Bullion in June ended 2.2% lower, also falling 2.5% for the second quarter, on expectations of a longer Fed rate hike path ahead.
* The dollar index was steady near a two-week high hit on Friday, making gold expensive for holders of other currencies. [USD/]
* U.S. consumer spending stagnated in May on Friday, while the Fed’s preferred core PCE price index, excluding food and energy, increased 4.6% on a year-on-year basis in May after advancing 4.7% in April.
* Investors see an 84% chance of a 25-basis-point hike in July, according to CME’s Fedwatch tool, pricing in another 25 bps rate hike in November, bringing rates into the 5.5%-5.75% range before cuts are seen in 2024.
* Investors will also watch for minutes of the June 13-14 FOMC meeting being released on July 5.
* High interest rates discourage investment in non-yielding gold.
* In Japan, business sentiment improved in the second quarter, but factory activity contracted in June.
* Over in the U.S., the Institute of Supply Management’s (ISM) nationwide PMI reading is expected, but trading volume could be light on Monday due to a U.S. holiday on July 4.
* Spot silver was little changed at $22.74 per ounce, platinum fell 0.1% to $900.19 while palladium rose 0.4% to $1,232.06.
DATA/EVENTS (GMT)
0145 China Caixin Mfg PMI Final
0750 France S&P Global Mfg PMI
0755 Germany HCOB Mfg PMI
0800 EU HCOB Mfg Final PMI
0830 UK S&P GLBL/CIPS Mfg PMI Final
1345 US S&P Global Mfg PMI Final
1400 US ISM Manufacturing PMI
(Reporting by Seher Dareen in Bengaluru; Editing by Krishna Chandra Eluri)
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