LONDON: Global stock markets struggled Thursday following news that Europe’s biggest economy Germany has entered recession, and after Fitch warned that the US debt standoff could threaten its gold-plated credit rating.
German gross domestic product shrank 0.3 percent in the first quarter after a downwardly-revised contraction of 0.5 percent in the prior three months, official data showed.
Equities were rattled, having already sunk the previous day on alarm over stalled US debt ceiling talks aimed at averting a painful default.
Frankfurt traded marginally lower, while London and Paris each lost 0.1 percent.
European shares log worst day in two months
The European single currency recoiled to a two-month low at $1.0714 before clawing back ground.
“German sentiment took a hit this morning,” Scope Markets analyst Joshua Mahoney told AFP, noting German’s recession was led by declining household consumption and government spending.
“While many will see this contraction as a warning sign that Europe’s largest economy will drag the region lower, the optimists will also look at these figures as a sign that higher rates are cooling consumption which will ultimately drive inflation lower.”
Most Asian equities also sank on fears over the prospect of a US default, while oil prices retreated on profit-taking after three straight sessions of gains.
Debt standoff
Nerves have been jangled across global markets owing to a lack of real headway in the standoff on Capitol Hill to increase the US borrowing limit so it can meet its debt obligations.
Fitch placed the country’s AAA-ranked credit on “rating watch negative” – a move it said “reflects increased political partisanship that is hindering reaching a resolution to raise or suspend the debt limit” ahead of a looming deadline.
The announcement raises the possibility of a first ratings downgrade since S&P did so during a similar standoff in 2011.
The US Treasury Department has said June 1 is the “X-date” when the government will run out of money, triggering a default with likely devastating economic consequences.
Talks earlier this week between President Joe Biden and Republican House Speaker Kevin McCarthy were described as “productive” but the two sides have made little progress since, with Republicans demanding spending cuts but Democrats calling for a “clean” increase.
Analysts said that while there is a broad expectation an agreement will finally be reached – likely at the last minute following a period of brinkmanship – but investors were growing increasingly agitated and risk-averse.
Worries over the possibility of more Federal Reserve interest rate hikes were also dampening sentiment. Minutes from the Fed’s most recent policy meeting showed officials split on what to do at their June gathering, with inflation still more than double a two percent target.
Key figures around 1045 GMT
Frankfurt - DAX: FLAT at 15,835.95 points
London - FTSE 100: DOWN 0.1 percent at 7,617.20
Paris - CAC 40: DOWN 0.1 percent at 7,244.16
EURO STOXX 50: UP 0.4 percent at 4,278.91
Tokyo - Nikkei 225: UP 0.4 percent at 30,801.13 (close)
Hong Kong - Hang Seng Index: DOWN 1.9 percent at 18,746.92 (close)
Shanghai - Composite: DOWN 0.1 percent at 3,201.26 (close)
New York - Dow: DOWN 0.8 percent at 32,799.92 (close)
Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.0728 from $1.0750 on Wednesday
Pound/dollar: UP at $1.2369 from $1.2365
Dollar/yen: UP at 139.52 yen from 139.47 yen
Euro/pound: DOWN at 86.74 pence from 86.94 pence
West Texas Intermediate: DOWN 1.2 percent at $73.45 per barrel
Brent North Sea crude: DOWN 1.0 percent at $77.55 per barrel
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