Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD consolidates its gains, Fed rate decision looms


  • Gold price remains flat near 1,932 ahead of major central bank events.
  • The Federal Reserve (Fed) is widely expected to hold the interest rates in the 5.25% to 5.5% range.
  • Fed, Bank of England (BoE), Bank of Japan BoJ monetary policy meeting will be closely watched by traders.

Gold price (XAU/USD) consolidates its recent gains above the $1,900 mark during the Asian session on Tuesday. Traders prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the major central banks' monetary policy meeting. The Federal Reserve (Fed), the Bank of England (BoE), and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will announce the interest rate decision later this week and these events could trigger the volatility in the market. At the press time, gold price is losing 0.06% on the day to trade at $1,932.

The Federal Reserve (Fed) is scheduled to announce the two-day monetary policy meeting on Wednesday and is widely expected to hold the interest rates in the 5.25% to 5.5% range. According to the CME Fedwatch Tool, the odds of keeping rates unchanged at 99%. However, markets remain cautious of the Fed's outlook, owing to a recent uptick in inflation data and the resiliency of the US economy, which could pave the way to additional rate hikes.

Traders will closely monitor the press conference of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, which might provide clues about the future path of interest rates. It’s worth noting that rising interest rates raise the opportunity cost of investing in non-yielding assets, implying a negative outlook for precious metals.

Meanwhile, a gauge of the value of the US dollar versus six major currencies faces some follow-through selling but remains above 105.10. US Treasury yields fell on Tuesday, with the 10-year bond falling to 4.30% by press time. The Greenback's strength is being undermined by declining yields.

Looking ahead, gold traders will closely watch the Fed interest rate decision on Wednesday at 18:00 GMT. The attention will shift to the press conference by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell at 18:30 GMT for some hints about the ‘dot plot’ and inflation expectations. Later this week, the BoE will announce its benchmark rates on Thursday, and the BoJ monetary policy meeting is scheduled for Friday. These figures could give a clear direction to gold prices.

 

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1932.28
Today Daily Change -1.54
Today Daily Change % -0.08
Today daily open 1933.82
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1922.88
Daily SMA50 1932
Daily SMA100 1946.42
Daily SMA200 1922.91
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1934.32
Previous Daily Low 1922.62
Previous Weekly High 1930.77
Previous Weekly Low 1901.07
Previous Monthly High 1966.08
Previous Monthly Low 1884.85
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1929.85
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1927.09
Daily Pivot Point S1 1926.19
Daily Pivot Point S2 1918.55
Daily Pivot Point S3 1914.49
Daily Pivot Point R1 1937.89
Daily Pivot Point R2 1941.95
Daily Pivot Point R3 1949.59

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD recovers toward 1.0850 as risk mood improves

EUR/USD recovers toward 1.0850 as risk mood improves

EUR/USD gains traction and rises toward 1.0850 on Friday. The improvement seen in risk mood makes it difficult for the US Dollar (USD) to preserve its strength and helps the pair erase a portion of its weekly losses. 

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD stabilizes above 1.2700 after downbeat UK Retail Sales-led dip

GBP/USD stabilizes above 1.2700 after downbeat UK Retail Sales-led dip

GBP/USD staged a rebound and stabilized above 1.2700 after dropping to a weekly low below 1.2680 in the early European session in response to the disappointing UK Retail Sales data. The USD struggles to find demand on upbeat risk mood and allows the pair to hold its ground. 

GBP/USD News

Gold rebounds to $2,340 area, stays deep in red for the week

Gold rebounds to $2,340 area, stays deep in red for the week

Gold fell nearly 4% in the previous two trading days and touched its weakest level in two weeks below $2,330 on Thursday. As US Treasury bond yields stabilize on Friday, XAU/USD stages a correction toward $2,340 but remains on track to post large weekly losses.

Gold News

Dogecoin inspiration Kabosu dies, leaving legacy of $22.86 billion market cap meme coin behind

Dogecoin inspiration Kabosu dies, leaving legacy of $22.86 billion market cap meme coin behind

Kabosu, the popular Shiba Inu dog that inspired the logo of the largest meme coin by market capitalization, Dogecoin (DOGE), died early on Friday after losing her fight to leukemia and liver disease.

Read more

Week ahead – US PCE inflation and Eurozone CPI data enter the spotlight

Week ahead – US PCE inflation and Eurozone CPI data enter the spotlight

Dollar traders lock gaze on core PCE index. Eurozone CPIs in focus as June cut looms. Tokyo CPIs may complicate BoJ’s policy plans. Aussie awaits Australian CPIs and Chinese PMIs.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures